When you say "you haven't had much problem" one can only assume you're _not actually reading the output_. In fact, like most things in modern times, one has to assume you arn't actually reading the output. You're skimming it; you're finding what makes sense and extrapolating that. This is the 70%.
The problem with non-deterministic models is that the output can't be deterministically assessed. You're harboring a delusion that you're getting real good output.
Most likely you're doing the baby extrapolation: you make it do a small, tightly scoped project and it's does 99% right. Just like a baby doubles in size in a year. Extrapolating, that baby will double again; but it doesnt.
Your human compensation limits does not extrapolate to the size and knowledge that's fed into the model and the context it extrapolates.
When you say "you haven't had much problem" one can only assume you're _not actually reading the output_. In fact, like most things in modern times, one has to assume you arn't actually reading the output. You're skimming it; you're finding what makes sense and extrapolating that. This is the 70%.
The problem with non-deterministic models is that the output can't be deterministically assessed. You're harboring a delusion that you're getting real good output.
Most likely you're doing the baby extrapolation: you make it do a small, tightly scoped project and it's does 99% right. Just like a baby doubles in size in a year. Extrapolating, that baby will double again; but it doesnt.
Your human compensation limits does not extrapolate to the size and knowledge that's fed into the model and the context it extrapolates.