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The 5σ convention is more about announcement than about discovery. No one can really say when a discovery is made. As more information comes in, the image can remain fuzzy or can get clearer and clearer. In the latter case, 5σ is a convention as a threshold for when you are entitled to announce a discovery without being blamed for jumping the gun. They'll collect data for many more years before passing the threshold of Nobel-worthy discovery.


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