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This is marketing, playing up the fear a little bit like this makes his product sound more powerful and valuable.


I agree, but more I think they see a slew of open source competitors on the horizon and will be leaning into regulation to maintain a moat.


Open source models are on the way no doubt.

Personally I think that’s the only way to avoid the “everyone being homeless and jobless” scenario we’ve all been describing.


How will that let people avoid the homeless/jobless scenarios?


No single point of control over the means of production.

If Microsoft have cheap labor from bots, and you do too, it levels the playing field dramatically. You won’t have to pay money for access to similar capabilities

The Luddite’s were angry because they were replaced by machines they couldn’t afford to own themselves and profit from. With open source machines, this doesn’t happen. We all have machines and then we all have more equal opportunity.


I mean, I've got machines, but I don't have Microsoft's bank account, can't they leverage that in infrastructure, regulations to roll over that.

I feel like I've had a similar conversation when I was talking to someone arguing that the 2nd amendment was imperative for citizens to defend themselves against the government. Like bro, how is your shotgun winning against an aircraft carrier.


The 2nd amendment was meant to allow for guerrilla warfare against a government which didn’t want to wipe out the entire population which was sympathetic to the rebels. This context mirrors what the US states had in their war of independence.

For all other kinds of wars, yes, the government can crush you. That was true even in the 1700s, and has only gotten more true today.


But we still won't be able to afford the processing power. It's ultimately the same as crypto - it promises to democratize (finance/copyright infringement/talking to a computer) but doesn't if you peel away the layers.

The means of production is both the software AND the hardware.


If the models don’t become more efficient to run , then it won’t be sustainable for almost any company to scale Them up to me smarter, and have them so heavily used no one has jobs.

So we have to assume you’ll be able to run them on much more efficient hardware soon.

Anyway, I’m not necessarily talking about individuals running their own, but groups of people.


If we're saying that only groups of people will be able to own the means of production I have a guess who those groups (maybe we should call it a class?) will be.


Imagine a world where 90% of people are laid off due to AI, do you really think that 90% of people will just sit around and do nothing about it?

No, people, with all their diverse backgrounds, expertise and ingenuity will come together and build what's required for their survival and because of open source technology, they will also have access to the same advanced AI systems as M$.


But what are they using the AI for? Having AI just to have AI will have no value if everyone has it, and the groups that were using developers or writers before (for marketing or software development) will still have no need. What will be valuable about the tool by itself?


Wouldn't the skill in using the tool matter? GH Copilot, so far, has been kind of meh for me - the instances where it produces something actually useful, even after giving it lots of hints, were pretty rare until now. But, two or three generations down the line, it might actually be a tool capable of making a difference. Then, just like with Google when it appeared, people who can work with that tool effectively will be in demand for some time, until either the tool is deliberately broken or something better comes up.


I'm honestly not understanding this.

If someone's job is eliminated because they were replaced by a bot, how does having their own bot help them? They're still out of work.

Or are you suggesting that everyone in the future will have to become AI engineers?


Because the bot would have to be producing something of value. So if now will have access to something that can also produce value without having to pay a gatekeeper? You don’t think that’s important ?


I do think it's important, I'm just not seeing how that helps people who have lost their jobs/home.

I'm not being argumentative here. I'm not understanding, and want to understand how this would be applied to help people in that position.

The only way I can think is if the solution is that they will all be AI operators, in which case the solution on offer is another variant of "retraining" -- but not everyone will be suitable for that sort of work. But that doesn't sound right, so I think I'm not understanding.


It still cost money to operate the machines..


I guess I've been re-injected into the Matrix and now I'm wondering why this chicken sandwich I'm eating tastes weird.


Tastes a bit like Tasty-Wheat? Or maybe tuna-fish?


it's also The Register which is sort of known for these kinds of fear mongering clickbaity headlines. Just about anything can be misused for nefarious purposes. The implications of a sophisticated generative text program (simplifying it [a lot]) are rather obvious




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